I want in on this bet!

Over at Polity Rob Salmond has offered Chris Trotter a bet over his 2014 polling predictions based on The Daily Blog’s ‘bit of harmless fun’ self-selecting poll.

Rob’s offer:

Chris Trotter, here is my proposition to you:

  1. You win the bet if any two individual polls in 2014 (from the list of outlets you mention) show Labour 10% or more below its current Polity Poll-of-Polls average of 33.1%. That would mirror your poll’s result. If that happens, I will pay you or your designated charity $500.

  2. I will also pay $500 if any two polls in 2014 (from the list of outlets you mention) show the Greens ahead of Labour, mirroring your online poll result.

  3. If neither of those events occurs, you pay my designated charity, @Heart, $250.

  4. To activate the bet, please send me an email or post your acceptance on The Daily Blog within 7 days of this post.


I want in! For obvious reasons I can’t place a bet.

A self-selecting poll, on a politically aligned website, is completely and utterly meaningless as an indicator of public sentiment.

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