NZ First support and permanent long-term arrivals

Bernard Hickey just posted this on Twitter. I can’t imagine there’s really anything causal here, but interesting huh? 

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5 thoughts on “NZ First support and permanent long-term arrivals

  1. If NZ First support was a consequence of immigration numbers, wouldn’t you expect to see a lag? That is; people turning to the party after the arrival of immigrants rather than in sync with their arrival. Likewise, one other possible interpretation of the the pair of graphs shown here is that recent immigrants support NZ First.

    1. I guess. I don’t think NZ First support is a consequence of immigration numbers because a) most people would have no idea about current immigration numbers, or accurate perceptions of their change over time, and b) it’s far too simple an explanation for political preference.

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